Intraday seasonalities and nonstationarity of trading volume in financial markets: Collective features
نویسندگان
چکیده
Employing Random Matrix Theory and Principal Component Analysis techniques, we enlarge our work on the individual and cross-sectional intraday statistical properties of trading volume in financial markets to the study of collective intraday features of that financial observable. Our data consist of the trading volume of the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index components spanning the years between 2003 and 2014. Computing the intraday time dependent correlation matrices and their spectrum of eigenvalues, we show there is a mode ruling the collective behaviour of the trading volume of these stocks whereas the remaining eigenvalues are within the bounds established by random matrix theory, except the second largest eigenvalue which is robustly above the upper bound limit at the opening and slightly above it during the morning-afternoon transition. Taking into account that for price fluctuations it was reported the existence of at least seven significant eigenvalues-and that its autocorrelation function is close to white noise for highly liquid stocks whereas for the trading volume it lasts significantly for more than 2 hours -, our finding goes against any expectation based on those features, even when we take into account the Epps effect. In addition, the weight of the trading volume collective mode is intraday dependent; its value increases as the trading session advances with its eigenversor approaching the uniform vector as well, which corresponds to a soar in the behavioural homogeneity. With respect to the nonstationarity of the collective features of the trading volume we observe that after the financial crisis of 2008 the coherence function shows the emergence of an upset profile with large fluctuations from that year on, a property that concurs with the modification of the average trading volume profile we noted in our previous individual analysis.
منابع مشابه
Intraday Seasonalities and Nonstationarity of Trading Volume in Financial Markets: Individual and Cross-Sectional Features
We study the intraday behaviour of the statistical moments of the trading volume of the blue chip equities that composed the Dow Jones Industrial Average index between 2003 and 2014. By splitting that time interval into semesters, we provide a quantitative account of the nonstationary nature of the intraday statistical properties as well. Explicitly, we prove the well-known ∪-shape exhibited by...
متن کاملAdaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System for Financial Trading using Intraday Seasonality Observation Model
The prediction of financial time series is a very complicated process. If the efficient market hypothesis holds, then the predictability of most financial time series would be a rather controversial issue, due to the fact that the current price contains already all available information in the market. This paper extends the Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System for High Frequency Trading which ...
متن کاملEconometric Analysis of Financial Transaction Data: Pitfalls and Opportunities
The recent availability of large data sets covering single transactions on nancial markets has created a new branch of econometrics which has opened up a new door of looking at the microstructure of nancial markets and its dynamics. The speci c nature of transaction data such as the randomness of arrival times of trades, the discreteness of price jumps and signi cant intraday seasonalities, cal...
متن کاملOnline Publication Date: 10 March, 2012 Publisher: Asian Economic and Social Society Market Liquidity Behaviour in Futures Markets: Empirical Evidence
In this study, we examine the relations between the three keys variables of liquidity such as trading volume, bid-ask spread, and intraday price volatility. Hausman’s (1978) tests of specification confirmed that trading volume, bid-ask spread and intraday price volatility are jointly determined. Our study, leaded with a different approach to estimate the three parameters in a three-equation sim...
متن کاملIntraday Patterns in the Returns, Bid-ask Spreads, and Trading Volume of Stocks
Much research has demonstrated the existence of patterns in high-frequency equity returns, return volatility, bid-ask spreads and trading volume. In this paper, we employ a new test for detecting periodicities based on a signal coherence function. The technique is applied to the returns, bid-ask spreads, and trading volume of thirty stocks traded on the NYSE. We are able to confirm previous fin...
متن کامل